Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 4.046508 4.337568 4.648838 5.008138 5.413536 5.859273 6.389884
2025-07-20 3.640265 4.053832 4.524590 5.106891 5.817606 6.670344 7.792610
2025-07-27 3.399912 3.885441 4.462521 5.212914 6.184996 7.435763 9.229287
2025-08-03 3.181734 3.705203 4.347547 5.215213 6.393345 7.999193 10.480713
2025-08-10 2.967393 3.503902 4.178099 5.115648 6.436579 8.323533 11.431567
2025-08-17 2.775895 3.313628 4.002192 4.982385 6.406049 8.522231 12.209808
2025-08-24 2.634904 3.177089 3.883613 4.911871 6.449810 8.827644 13.218461
2025-08-31 2.552969 3.111410 3.852916 4.958427 6.666790 9.429836 14.897674
2025-09-07 2.469340 3.037218 3.803578 4.970569 6.827415 9.957837 16.580017
2025-09-14 2.339501 2.892761 3.646442 4.808433 6.689751 9.942474 17.118966
2025-09-21 2.240332 2.785701 3.536098 4.708525 6.642952 10.082145 18.042565
2025-09-28 2.160176 2.701165 3.453067 4.643843 6.647135 10.314527 19.255750
2025-10-05 2.093022 2.634122 3.394963 4.619027 6.726172 10.722270 21.120452
2025-10-12 2.059597 2.613544 3.404183 4.702582 7.006855 11.592190 24.693453
2025-10-19 2.030832 2.597817 3.418996 4.795318 7.314426 12.585856 29.304279
2025-10-26 1.981672 2.549880 3.381746 4.797317 7.449621 13.222109 33.189654
2025-11-02 1.914683 2.472931 3.295868 4.710035 7.400537 13.411668 35.508397
2025-11-09 1.844998 2.389533 3.196364 4.593014 7.280897 13.407458 37.037864
2025-11-16 1.792052 2.329294 3.130612 4.531000 7.267171 13.672754 40.085110
2025-11-23 1.765160 2.307036 3.123588 4.571951 7.470256 14.554595 47.305588
2025-11-30 1.733248 2.275911 3.100785 4.582626 7.610073 15.300363 54.980124
2025-12-07 1.670873 2.196485 2.997129 4.439914 7.402658 15.001356 55.352418
2025-12-14 1.622742 2.137616 2.924934 4.351802 7.309554 15.032334 58.358714